Author Archives: lubon

China’s domestic soda ash stable operation on April 28

According to the survey data of business associations, the average market price in East China is about 1983.33 yuan per ton. The light soda commodity index on April 27 was 101.71, which was the same as yesterday. It was 13.70% lower than the peak of 117.86 points in the cycle (2017-11-21), and 61.06% higher than the low of 63.15 points on November 18, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)

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Domestic soda market is mainly stable, the price is not adjusted for the time being, and enterprises are on the sidelines. The overall trend of soda ash in Shandong is temporarily stable. The current mainstream market price of light soda ash is about 1900-1950 yuan/ton, while the mainstream market price of heavy soda ash is 2000-2100 yuan/ton. The actual transaction is more flexible. It is expected that the latter stage of soda ash price will be more narrow-range consolidation market operation. The overall trend of soda ash in Hebei is stable. The mainstream market price of light soda ash is about 1950-2000 yuan/ton. The mainstream market price of heavy soda ash is 1950-2000 yuan/ton. The actual transaction is more flexible. It is expected that the price of soda ash will run smoothly in the later period. Downstream more on-demand goods, market stability is the main.

Soda analysts believe that: Soda market at the end of the month downstream wait-and-see purchasing, the trend is stable. The downstream demand performance is general. Some enterprises have sufficient pre-stocking. At present, most of them are purchasing on demand, and the inventory of soda enterprises is on the low side as a whole. It is expected that the domestic soda market will operate steadily in a multi-dimensional way in the short term, mainly on a wait-and-see basis, and specifically on the downstream market demand.

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China’s domestic phthalic anhydride market price trend was temporarily stable on April 22

On April 21, the phthalic anhydride commodity index was 63.75, unchanged from yesterday, down 46.93% from the peak of 120.13 points in the cycle (2012-02-28), and up 31.66% from the low of 48.42 points on January 21, 2016. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date).

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Recently, the domestic market price of phthalic anhydride has maintained a low trend, the market of phthalic anhydride and phthalic anhydride in eastern China has weakened, downstream factories have just needed to purchase, factory inventory pressure has continued, high-end transactions have been blocked, the mainstream of on-site neighbouring source negotiations is 6500-6600 yuan/ton, and the mainstream of naphthalene source negotiations is 6300 yuan/ton; the mainstream quotation of phthalic anhydride market in North China is 6400-6600 yuan/ton, and the market weak The price of phthalic anhydride in China is stable, the spot supply of phthalic anhydride is normal, the market is not good, and the price of phthalic anhydride is declining.

Recently, the executive price of the upstream product of phthalic anhydride, Sinopec o-phthalic anhydride, is 6700 yuan/ton. The actual transaction price in the market is 6700 yuan/ton. The quotation is stable and the port market is general. The upstream raw material mixed xylene price is stable, the turnover of phthalic anhydride is general, the stock of phthalic anhydride in port is low, the price of phthalic anhydride is temporarily stable, the cost of imported phthalic anhydride is rising, the actual transaction price is discussed in detail, the upstream price trend is stable, and the market price of phthalic anhydride remains weak. DOP prices in the downstream are lower. Recently, in the DOP market in Zhejiang, merchants’quotations have maintained 8200-8300 yuan/ton, while downstream prices have slightly declined. Demand for upstream phthalic anhydride is limited, and the market price of phthalic anhydride is slightly lower. It is expected that the market price of phthalic anhydride in the later period will be around 6550 yuan/ton.

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China’s domestic propylene oxide market was stable this week (4.15-4.19)

Price Trend

According to the price monitoring of business associations, the average price of propylene oxide in the market as of April 19 was 10,900 yuan/ton. At present, the mainstream price of propylene oxide in the market is 10,700 yuan/ton to 11,200 yuan/ton, which is 0.31% higher than that at the beginning of the week.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Product: Propylene oxide Market is stable this week. As of April 19, the cash delivery price of Wanhua Chemistry Shandong Mainstream Market was 10,900 yuan/ton, and that of East China Mainstream Market was 11,200 yuan/ton.

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Industry chain: This week, some downstream plants of propylene oxide were slightly adjusted by external impact load, but the overall market supply and demand is not unbalanced, we need to continue to pay attention to the start-up changes of domestic upstream and downstream devices.

3. Future market forecast:

According to business associations, the market is still adjusting steadily in the short term.

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Brief analysis of toluene Market on April 17

Internationally, Venezuela’s and Iran’s crude oil supply declined, Libya’s situation was unstable, and U.S. crude oil stocks showed a downward trend. Last night, international oil prices rebounded in both directions. The reference price of toluene in the Korean market is about 710 US dollars per ton, up 7 US dollars per ton from the previous trading day.

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Nowadays, the listed price of Sinopec’s enterprises in South China has been lowered, and other areas are stable. Toluene market inquiry is the main, the general turnover, port inventory stability, overall downstream demand is not high. Overall TRADERS’prices have increased slightly, and the latest quotation is about 5400-5450 yuan/ton.

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Domestic hydrofluoric acid market prices in China fell this week (4.8-4.12)

According to statistics, domestic hydrofluoric acid prices fell slightly this week, with the price at the end of the weekend at 10,100 yuan/ton, down 1.62% from the price at the beginning of the week at 10,266.67 yuan/ton, and down 19.31% from the same period last year.

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Products: This week, hydrofluoric acid price trend slightly lower, enterprises reflect that the current on-site supply of hydrofluoric acid is sufficient, the recent on-site shopping situation is poor, some enterprises still have inventory of hydrofluoric acid, low price shocks, the recent start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plant is high, on-site supply is normal, the current mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is 9500-10000 yuan/ton, and hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is still in stock. The price of acid is 9500-10500 yuan/ton. Recently, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid has fallen, but in the recent downstream refrigerant industry, the start-up rate is low, and the market price of hydrofluoric acid has declined. By the end of the weekend, the mainstream of domestic negotiations on hydrofluoric acid in Fujian was 9500-10000 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Shandong was 1000 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Jiangxi was 9500 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Inner Mongolia was 9500 yuan/ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid was mainly negative.

Industry chain: The price of fluorite in the upstream of hydrofluoric acid declined slightly this week. The price of fluorite manufactured by the end of the week was 2835 yuan/ton. This week, the price of fluorite dropped 0.35%. Recent fluorite plant construction has not changed much. On the whole, the supply of fluorite is normal, the price of fluorite has a downward trend. The lower price of raw materials in the upstream has a negative impact on the market of hydrofluoric acid. The market price of hydrofluoric acid has a negative impact. Lattice trend slightly declined. Recent downstream refrigerant products start at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, hydrofluoric acid products prices slightly lower. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-19,000 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the delivery market has increased. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. However, the on-site transaction price has not changed much, and the upstream market demand for hydrofluoric acid has weakened due to on-demand purchasing by merchants. Aluminum fluoride prices of downstream products have maintained a low trend in the near future, with a weekend value of 10,166.67 yuan per ton. The price trend has remained stable. Recently, the market for hydrofluoric acid has been generally on the move, while the market price for hydrofluoric acid has slightly declined.

Industry: This week, the upstream raw material fluorite and hydrofluoric acid market equipment started to work normally, and the downstream refrigerant industry trading market declined, hydrofluoric acid market prices fell mainly.

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Recent domestic refrigerant plant start-up rate is low. For hydrofluoric acid market demand is general, the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is normal, and the raw material market price has a downward trend. Chen Ling, an analyst of hydrofluoric acid business association, thinks that the market price of hydrofluoric acid will keep a slight downward trend next week, and the price of hydrofluoric acid will be around 10,000 yuan/ton.

Rigid demand support, hydrogen peroxide soared in March

According to the monitoring of business associations, the market of hydrogen peroxide rose sharply in March. At the beginning of the month, the average price of 27.5% hydrogen peroxide in domestic market was 875 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, the price of 27.5% hydrogen peroxide was 1087 yuan/ton. The price rose by 24.29%.

In March, downstream factories restored, terminal rigid demand increased, and some hydrogen peroxide manufacturers stopped to repair, the market supply was tight, manufacturers constantly raised the price of hydrogen peroxide factory, the price of hydrogen peroxide continued to soar throughout March, breaking through the 1000 yuan barrier. At the end of the month, Hebei’s price exceeded 1,100 yuan/ton, which was 250 yuan/ton higher than that at the beginning of the month. Shandong mainstream offer 1040-1110 yuan/ton, the price is 250 yuan/ton higher than the beginning of the month. Anhui mainstream offer 1100 yuan / ton, the price is 100 yuan / ton higher than the beginning of the month.

Business Club hydrogen peroxide analysts believe that: demand support, market turnover improved, future hydrogen peroxide market will remain strong.

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Maintenance of Butadiene Market in China on March 11

Price Trend

The domestic butadiene market has been maintained in recent years. As of March 11, the price of butadiene was 9078 yuan per ton, according to the monitoring of business associations.

II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: Domestic butadiene market maintained consolidation, limited market information guidance, middlemen to deliver orders, delivery to the offer to maintain stability. But short-term market supply-side pressure is obvious, some businessmen are cautious, and market transactions continue to be rigid and rigid. The market atmosphere of butadiene in Shandong continues to be weak, market operators are cautious and wait-and-see mentality is obvious, downstream inquiries are limited, and market quotations are maintained. Eastern China butadiene market lacks information guidance, the market atmosphere is weak, the supply side is abundant, downstream inquiries are cautious, and market quotations are maintained. Asian closing price of butadiene, FOB Korea average offer $1120-1128 per ton; CFR China average offer $1155-1163 per ton.

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Industry chain: styrene-butadiene rubber: Because natural rubber is still showing weakness, and demand continues to remain weak, domestic styrene-butadiene rubber market is showing weakness, some regions have declined offers, while a small number of transactions. Cis-butadiene rubber: The domestic cis-butadiene rubber market slightly fell. The overall market offer price hangs upside down, the inquiry atmosphere on the site is cool, sporadic buyers buy at reduced prices, and the bargaining price is on the low side. SBS: Domestic SBS market oil glue, dry glue narrow finishing, on-site trading performance is general.

3. Future Market Forecast

On the positive side, demand is gradually recovering, synthetic rubber market is strong, and the price of the outer plate is strong. On the short side, the supply side is abundant and downstream inquiries are prudent. Domestic butadiene market lacks information guidance, the market supply side is still abundant, downstream cautious wait-and-see mentality is obvious, inquiry intention is low, market turnover is weak, market bearish sentiment is strong, business community butadiene analysts predict that the short-term domestic butadiene market continues to be weak finishing trend, pay attention to market turnover.

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The domestic phenol market rose steadily in February.

Price Trend

February coincides with the Spring Festival, before the festival, the domestic phenol market was consolidated horizontally. In the first working day after the festival, Lihua Yiweiyuan first rose 100 yuan/ton. Market confidence was boosted. After the festival, the market opened steadily, releasing a bullish signal to the market after the festival. East China is up 500 yuan/ton after the festival and up to 9000 yuan/ton at present. According to the monitoring data of business associations, phenol petrochemical plants in East China listed 8500 yuan/ton at the beginning of January, and up to 800 yuan/ton at the present time, the overall increase is 3.53%.

 

II. Analytical Review

Products: Affected by the first increase of 100 yuan/ton of Li Huayi after the festival, the market confidence increased, and the Spring Festival holiday was affected by the Middle East equipment maintenance. The spot supply in India market was tight, the price soared rapidly. According to the need for Chinese importers to take the opportunity to export operations, traders in East China took this opportunity to push up, in terms of equipment, Yangzhou Shiyou planned to stop and repair for one month, to the city. The field is more confidence. However, the latter half of February did not meet the expectation, and the rising trend was relatively stable. The main reasons are as follows: the Middle East device restart, the supply pressure in India market will gradually ease, the port stock after the festival is relatively high, and the downstream construction has not yet been released, the procurement increase is not obvious, and the follow-up of the whole downstream is limited. After the festival, the domestic phenol manufacturer’s hanging plate in East China rose 300 yuan/ton to 8800 yuan/ton, and Huizhou Zhongxin in South China offered 9400 yuan/ton.

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Up to now, the market offers are as follows: the mainstream reference offer in East China is 9000 yuan/ton, the Yanshan area is 8900 yuan/ton, the Shandong area is 9000 yuan/ton, the Henan area is 9000 yuan/ton, and the South China area is 9400 yuan/ton.

 

Industry chain: In terms of supply and demand, in 2019, Zhejiang Petrochemical’s 650,000 tons/year phenol-ketone plant in Zhoushan will be put on the market. China’s phenol production capacity will exceed 3 million tons. Due to the steady development of downstream bisphenol A and cyclohexanone in recent years, the negative impact of new capacity release on the market will be relatively limited. With a large number of new projects of bisphenol A being put into operation, the consumption structure of phenol in China has changed fundamentally and is gradually in line with international standards. At present, bisphenol A has surpassed phenol formaldehyde resin to become the largest consumption area of phenol, accounting for about 46%, followed by phenol formaldehyde resin with 42%. If the third phase expansion project of Changchun Chemical Industry and the new bisphenol A project of Zhejiang Petrochemical Co., Ltd. are put into operation smoothly in 2019, the total production capacity of bisphenol A will exceed 1.8 million tons/year. Two sets of 150,000 tons/year phenol-to-cyclohexanone units in Weiming Petrochemical Company of Jiangsu Province are expected to be mass-produced in May this year, when domestic production capacity of phenol-to-cyclohexanone will be greatly increased.

Upstream and downstream, pure benzene: Driven by crude oil and the impact of the appreciation of the people, the outer price is higher than domestic pure benzene, Sinopec or there is an upward expectation. At present, the listed price of Sinopec is implemented at 4950 yuan/ton, and the current market is negotiating at 5000 yuan/ton. Propylene: Up to now, the main stream of Shandong Province is 7000-7100 yuan/ton. The difference between supply and demand has a great impact on the market, which directly leads to a sustained decline in prices. The difference between supply and demand in the market is too large to support it well. It is difficult to reverse the market situation. The stock and repair plans of some enterprises, such as Haiyue, Huaxing, Changyi and Wanhua, will be reduced by then. Travel as a whole will gradually improve, and new opportunities will inevitably emerge. Downstream bisphenol A, cyclohexanone and other products are gradually restoring, and downstream capacity is expected to increase.

3. Future Market Forecast

In summary, in March, the plant overhaul, and the overhaul manufacturers are likely to increase, downstream start-up is gradually rising, the overall positive more, business community phenol analysts believe that the phenol market confidence has increased, the market boost is obvious, and in good supply and demand, petrochemical manufacturers adjustment is expected to continue to follow up, phenol Market in March is expected to be available, the mainstream market in East China is expected to offer about 9,400-9,600 yuan/ton.

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Chinese butadiene market declined on February 18

Price Trend

Recently, the domestic butadiene market has fallen. As of February 18, the price of butadiene was 9606 yuan/ton, according to business association monitoring.

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II. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Products: The domestic butadiene market is narrowly declining, the market supply side is still abundant, and the downstream demand is limited, dragging the butadiene industry mentality. With the gradual recovery of demand in the later period, there is some support for butadiene market, but due to the abundant inventory of suppliers, the market lacks obvious good news support. There is a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the butadiene market in Shandong Province. The downstream manufacturers digest their inventories mainly. The market supply side is still abundant, the market is limited, and the offer is kept in order. Eastern China butadiene market atmosphere is general, Sinopec’s lower supply price has limited impact on the market, downstream demand has not improved, market turnover is light, and the offer is maintained. Asian closing price of butadiene, FOB Korea average offer $1110-1118 per ton; CFR China average offer $1095-1103 per ton.

Industry chain: styrene-butadiene rubber: due to the poor natural rubber, and the price of butadiene in the inner plate has also been reduced, the market volatility of styrene-butadiene rubber is weak, prices in some areas are slightly loose, the transaction is small and the actual transaction price has been heard to hang upside down. Cis-butadiene rubber: The domestic market for cis-butadiene rubber is weak and volatile. Some vendors’offer price is slightly inverted, and there is still a lack of inquiries and purchases from buyers in the venue. Spot turnover is scarce. SBS: Oil and dry rubber ducts in domestic SBS market are narrowed, and the atmosphere is light.

3. Future Market Forecast

On the positive side, demand is expected to recover gradually; on the negative side, external prices are weak and supply is abundant. With the gradual recovery of demand in the later period, there is some support for butadiene market. However, due to the abundant supply stocks and the lack of obvious good news support in the market, butadiene analysts of business associations expect that the domestic butadiene market will continue to be weak in the short term, focusing on the latest price policy of manufacturers.

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