Price Trend

According to the data of business associations, the market price of aniline in Nanjing increased by 100 yuan/ton this week, 1.57% compared with last week, while that in Shandong increased by 220 yuan/ton, 3.78% compared with last week. The mainstream price in Shandong is 6030 yuan/ton, while that in Nanjing is 6450 yuan/ton.

II. Analytical Review

Raw Material: This week, the rise of pure benzene slowed down. The price was 5250-5350 yuan/ton, up 0.48% from last week. At the beginning of the week, the situation continued last week, and the domestic pure benzene market was boosted by the favorable factors of the continuous decline of port stocks and the continued rise of pure benzol US dollar plate. On Tuesday, the close of the benzo dollar market plunged and continued to fall, damaging the bullish mood of market participants. Due to the lower external market, the domestic market lacks the driving force for speculation.

Product: This week, the tender price of Shandong’s main aniline enterprises increased by about 300 yuan/ton compared with last week, and the cost pressure forced the price of aniline to rise. But weak downstream demand limits its growth.

Downstream: This week’s downstream MDI remained stable compared with last week’s.

III. Future Market Expectations

As the external market continued to decline and the gap between internal and external markets narrowed, the domestic pure benzene market lacked the incentive to continue to speculate. Pure benzene will run smoothly next week.

The trend of aniline next week should continue to pay attention to the dynamics of pure benzene.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the domestic phosphate ore market maintained stable operation this week. Some areas fluctuated slightly. Combined with several sample areas, the average price of initial and high-grade phosphate ore was around 430 yuan per ton.

II. Market Analysis

Product: This week, the price of phosphate ore is stable, and the supply of phosphate ore is normal. The price of phosphorus ore in Guizhou is stable. The price of 30% grade phosphorus ore mainstream freight plant/car plate is 370-450 yuan/ton. The price of 30% grade phosphorus ore mainstream export tax is maintained near 520 yuan/ton in Hebei. This week, the phosphorus ore market is running normally.

Industry chain: phosphoric acid market of downstream products is rising, yellow phosphorus market is rising at a high level. At present, phosphoric acid enterprises have started construction steadily, the spot supply is tight, the stock of raw materials is urgent, the supply is difficult to find, and the holder offers high. The price of raw material yellow phosphorus is closely related to the rise and fall of phosphoric acid. Under the influence of some factors such as partial shutdown of Yunnan-Guizhou-Sichuan yellow phosphorus enterprises, sudden drop of output and policy, the price of on-site yellow phosphorus enterprises soared, which led to the rise of phosphoric acid prices, and some enterprises suspended quotations and orders.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business society data analysts believe that the phosphate ore market will continue to operate smoothly in the middle and late July.

Price trends:

According to statistics, the domestic ammonium nitrate ex-factory price trend is temporarily stable this week. The average weekend price is 1966.67 yuan/ton, which is temporarily stable compared with the early weekend price of 1966.67 yuan/ton, down 2.45% from the same period last year.

II. Market analysis:

Products: This week, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price trend is temporarily stable. Affected by environmental protection control, domestic ammonium nitrate plant start-up is limited and domestic ammonium nitrate plant start-up is less. However, due to more shutdown of domestic downstream civil explosion industry, domestic ammonium nitrate manufacturers start-up is limited, and the price trend in the field remains weak. By the end of the weekend, the domestic ammonium nitrate market price negotiation was 1850-2050 yuan/ton. Affected by environmental protection and the cancellation of gas restriction, manufacturers in many areas are now forced to limit production or stop production for maintenance to accept environmental protection inspection. The demand for ammonium nitrate in the downstream has decreased, but the price trend of the upstream raw material nitric acid and liquid ammonia market has declined, nitric acid. Ammonium market is temporarily stable because of the influence of raw material prices.

Industry Chain: Domestic nitric acid price declined slightly this week, the market price was 1773.33 yuan/ton by the end of the week, and this week’s price declined 0.56%. Upstream raw material liquid ammonia price rose slightly, the market price of liquid ammonia by the end of the week was 3293.33 yuan/ton, this week’s price rose slightly, upstream raw material price trend rose for ammonium nitrate. Ammonium nitrate market price is stable temporarily. Recently, the downstream civil explosion industry is in the off-season. The demand for ammonium nitrate Market is weakening, the inventory of ammonium nitrate manufacturers is increasing, the market of nitric acid is not good, and the price of nitric acid market remains low.

Industry: In recent years, ammonium nitrate Market in general, downstream civil explosion industry fully parked, but the upstream raw material market prices rose slightly, ammonium nitrate market price trend is stable.

3. Future market forecast:

Ammonium nitrate analysts believe that the recent upstream raw material nitric acid market prices rose slightly, but the downstream demand is poor, ammonium nitrate market prices are expected to maintain low volatility in the later period.

I. Price Trend Chart of Polyformaldehyde Market

According to the monitoring of business associations, the average price of polyformaldehyde at the beginning of the week was 4950 yuan/ton, while the average price at the end of the week was 4933 yuan/ton, down 0.34.

II. Market Analysis

Products: Shandong Aldehyde Industry Chemical Co., Ltd. produces 30,000 tons of polyformaldehyde per year. The price of polyformaldehyde (96) is 4,900 yuan/ton with tax, and the price is down 50 yuan/ton. Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd. produces 9,000 tons of polyformaldehyde per year. The price of polyformaldehyde (96) is 4,900 yuan/ton with tax. The price is stable for the time being. Linyi Ruiyin Chemical Co., Ltd. produces 6000 tons of polyformaldehyde per year. The price of polyformaldehyde (96) is 5000 yuan per ton with tax. The price is stable for the time being. The market situation of polyformaldehyde nitric acid is still acceptable.

Industry chain: methanol upstream of polyformaldehyde, the domestic methanol market fell narrowly this week. At the beginning of the week, the average domestic methanol market price was 2 160 yuan/ton, and at the end of the week it was 2134 yuan/ton. The price of polyformaldehyde dropped by 1.20% during the week, which dragged down the price of polyformaldehyde. The downstream demand for polyformaldehyde is general.

3. Future Market Forecast

To sum up, the analysts of polyformaldehyde in business associations believe that the market of polyformaldehyde in the short term will be dominated by the smooth operation of the weak market.

Price Trend

According to the sample data monitored by business associations, the domestic market price of BDO at the beginning of the week was 9,200 yuan/ton, which was 21.46% lower than that of the same period last year.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week, the domestic BDO market center of gravity slightly increased, and the main high-end price of water diversion increased by 100 yuan/ton compared with last week. The raw material calcium carbide has been greatly increased, the cost support is strong, and the start-up load of factories in Xinjiang is not high, the inventory pressure is not high, the factory keeps pushing up with the support of mentality, and the middlemen have begun to follow up the increase offer to drive the market rhythm. And the main downstream market continues to be depressed, contracts just need to follow up, the spot market part of the small single high-end transactions, the business sells at low prices. It is heard that downstream PBT has planned to stop, PTMEG is in a weak downward trend, and BDO continues to rise with resistance under negative conduction. At present, although low prices are hard to find, high-end transactions are difficult and the center of gravity is in the middle.

On the market side, as of Friday (7.5), the market of BDO in South China was weak. Fair price mentality still exists, but the downstream market is weak, demand is limited, cost pressures are high, market counter-offer is depressed, talks are deadlocked, digestion of the increase is the main. The weak market of BDO in East China is on the horizon. The factory has strong market intentions, but the downstream demand is weak, high prices conflict, long about just need to pick up goods, bulk bill turnover is light. The supply and demand sides have talked about the saw, and the focus is rigid.

Industry chain: As for raw materials, calcium carbide, the price of domestic calcium carbide has risen by a large margin of 200 yuan/ton in this cycle. The supply of carbide is tight, the shipment is smooth, and the trading atmosphere in the market is strong. Affected by the rising price of calcium carbide in the near future, the profit of production enterprises has improved. Some of the calcium carbide furnaces that stopped production in the early stage have started or planned to start. It is expected that the market supply of calcium carbide will be increased in the middle and late ten days. Methanol: The northwest methanol market fell this week. The mainstream price in Inner Mongolia this week ranged from 1800 yuan/ton to 1730 yuan/ton. The upstream manufacturers shipped better. Some manufacturers stopped selling. At present, the overall inventory of manufacturers remains low and medium. This week’s shipment is mostly to the surrounding areas, Shandong and Hebei, etc. The overhaul of individual manufacturers and device failure have a certain impact on the local market.

3. Future Market Forecast

After Tianye’s load has not been restored and Panjin Dalian’s parking overhaul started, the third phase of Meck’s equipment began to be repaired, the supply of goods in the market has been reduced, and the cost-side support has been strong. The factories continue to push up, especially in Xinjiang, where the prices of factories are strong, and some middlemen have begun to follow up the increase offer. The spot market just needs small units and high prices, with a small focus. Move up the amplitude. However, at present, the PBT load of the main downstream is low, and there are planned parking devices, the demand support is insufficient, and the BDO continues to push up weak. BDO analysts of business associations expect that the domestic BDO market will digest the growth rate mainly next week, reorganize the operation, and pay particular attention to device dynamics and downstream demand changes.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the overall domestic phosphate ore market has shown a steady trend in recent years. Some enterprises in Guizhou have slightly lowered their prices. Combined with several sample areas, 30% of the grade phosphate ore has dropped – 1.54% from June 21.

II. Market Analysis

Products: The domestic phosphate ore market has maintained stable operation in the near future. The price of 30% grade phosphorus ore mainstream freight plant/truck board with tax is 350-450 yuan/ton in Guizhou, and the price of 30% grade phosphorus ore mainstream export with tax is stable near 530 yuan/ton in Hebei. This week, the phosphorus ore market equipment is running normally and the downstream demand is normal.

3. Future Market Forecast

Business society data analysts believe that the phosphate ore market will continue to operate smoothly in the middle and late July.

Price Trend

According to the monitoring data of business associations, the domestic acetic acid Market shocked and adjusted in June. At the beginning of June, the average price of acetic acid in eastern China was about 2576 yuan/ton. At the end of June, the average price of acetic acid in eastern China rose to about 2716 yuan/ton. The price of acetic acid rose by 5.43%, with the highest price of 2883 yuan/ton in a month. At present, the quotation in Henan is about 2350-2450/ton; in Shandong, 2600-2750 yuan/ton; in Hebei, 2600-2650 yuan/ton; in Shaanxi, 2200 yuan/ton; in Jiangsu, 2600-2700 yuan/ton; in Zhejiang, 2750-2850 yuan/ton; and in South China, 2700-2800 yuan/ton./ About a ton, the overall decline was 46.91% over the same period last year.

II. Cause Analysis

Products: At the beginning of June, affected by the overhaul of some acetic acid enterprises in East China, the overall market start-up rate was low, the spot supply continued to be tight, the acetic acid enterprises increased their quotations substantially, the enterprises in North China had many long single shipments and low inventory, the supply of enterprises was stable, the price of acetic acid was stable and strong; the Northwest China was affected by continuous vacation and other factors. The price of acetic acid in central China is continuously rising because of the influence of the overall market atmosphere. After mid-month, maintenance enterprises resumed production, and domestic demand in the downstream market was poor. The price of acetic acid began to fall as a whole. In terms of start-up, the industry’s start-up rate is relatively low. The overall start-up rate fluctuates between 60% and 75% within a month. Huayi, Thorpe and Yima installations have been repaired one after another, and production has resumed. Henan Longyu plans to be repaired in mid-July or about January.

Industry chain: On the upstream side, the contradiction between supply and demand in domestic methanol market is obvious. The price fluctuation in the month is down. At the beginning of the month, the average price of domestic methanol market is 2334 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month, it is 2180 yuan/ton. The price is down by 6.60%, 19.93% compared with the same period last year. The domestic PTA spot market is short of circulation. Prices in June showed a sharp rebound after shock adjustment. At the end of the month, the average market price was 6366 yuan/ton, up 11.34% from the beginning of the month and 8.45% from the same period last year.

International: North America acetic acid market supply is tight, fluctuating in the month, currently about 415 U.S. dollars per ton; Asian acetic acid market is affected by the overhaul of enterprises in China, the overall supply is tight, acetic acid prices have risen sharply, but the overall downstream demand is still soft, the current quotation is 340-405 U.S. dollars per ton; European acetic acid market is affected by raw material methanol. Affected, the month is stable, moderate and soft, the current quotation is about $510 per ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

At present, the domestic acetic acid market maintenance enterprises are gradually returning to normal, except Longyu, other enterprises have no maintenance plan and Dalian Hengli will soon export, the overall spot supply is abundant; July as the traditional off-season of the acetic acid market, downstream market purchases are light and export negotiations are cautious, the overall demand has no obvious signs of improvement; According to the analysis of social acetic acid data, the price of acetic acid is close to the cost line. Enterprises will guarantee the price of acetic acid while maintaining profits, and the domestic acetic acid market will be stable and weak in the near future.

On June 28, 2019, the price of fluorine chemical industry rose and fell in a total of 1 commodities, fell in a total of 0 commodities, rose and fell in a total of 4 commodities. The main commodities rising were trichloromethane (1.02%) and stable products including fluorite, hydrofluoric acid, aluminium fluoride and cryolite.

On June 28, the market price trend of fluorine chemical raw materials was temporarily stable. The price of fluorite raw materials was 3100 yuan/ton. Recently, some domestic fluorite plants started to work normally. Mines and flotation plants in the field started to work normally. The supply of fluorite in the field was tight. However, the recent downstream market has risen, and the price of fluorite has been affected to rise. In the southern fluorite market, the start-up of installations is general, and the price of fluorite market in the southern region has risen. As of the 28th, the domestic price of fluorite in Inner Mongolia is 2900-3100 yuan/ton, the mainstream of fluorite negotiations in Fujian is 3000-3300 yuan/ton, the price of fluorite in Henan is 3000-3200 yuan/ton, and the price of fluorite in Jiangxi is 3000-3300 yuan/ton. It is expected that the price of fluorite will rise slightly in the later period.

Recent downstream refrigerant industry trend is general, the starting rate remains low, the demand for hydrofluoric acid is general, but due to the reduction of on-site supply, the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid is rising. As of 28 days, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is 12040 yuan/ton. Recently, the market price of hydrofluoric acid is rising. The domestic starting rate of hydrofluoric acid is less than 60%. Enterprises reflect the current spot source of hydrofluoric acid. The supply is adequate and regular. Recently, the market of hydrofluoric acid has improved. Some enterprises’ex-factory prices have risen slightly. Up to now, the mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiations in the southern region is about 11500-12000 yuan/ton, while the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is about 11500-12500 yuan/ton. However, people on the market reflect the recent price trend of hydrofluoric acid. Chen Ling, a business analyst, thinks that the market of hydrofluoric acid may rise.

The price trend of aluminium fluoride products is temporarily stable, the supply on the market is normal and the trading market is poor. The quotation of aluminium fluoride from Zhengzhou Tianrui Grain Technology Co., Ltd. is 10,000 yuan/ton. The quotation of aluminium fluoride from Shandong Luzeng Chemical Co., Ltd. is 10,800 yuan/ton. The quotation of aluminium fluoride from Zhengzhou Zerun Energy Chemical Co., Ltd. is 9,500 yuan/ton. The quotation of aluminium fluoride from Henan Zhongse Dongfang Shaoxing Generally speaking, the recent market of fluorine chemical industry has improved, and it is expected that the trend of fluorine chemical industry will increase slightly in the later period.

Price Trend Chart of Nitric Acid Market

Nitric acid price curve

(Photo Source: Business Association Commodity Analysis System)

According to the monitoring of business associations, the price of nitric acid in China was temporarily stable this week, with an average price of 1783 yuan/ton.

II. Market Analysis

Products: This week, the domestic nitric acid market price is temporarily stable, Jiangsu mainstream manufacturers quoted 1,750 yuan per ton. Anhui mainstream manufacturers quoted 1850 yuan per ton. Shandong manufacturer quoted 1750 yuan/ton. The supply of nitric acid is not large, the quotation of the manufacturer is stable, and the nitric acid is in good condition.

Industry chain: the upstream raw material of nitric acid is liquid ammonia. The domestic market of liquid ammonia has been sorted out slightly. The market performance is weak. The market turnover is still acceptable. Most manufacturers’quotations are stable. The quotations of manufacturers in the northern region are maintained in the range of 3050-3700 yuan/ton. The quotations in the northwest region are above and below 2900-3100 yuan/ton. Downstream aniline, June 20, Shandong aniline Market Price 5700 yuan / ton; Nanjing aniline market price 6050 yuan / ton.

3. Future Market Forecast

In summary, Nitric acid analysts believe that the nitric acid market will continue to operate strongly in the short term.

According to statistics, the domestic hydrofluoric acid price trend rose this week, the price at the end of the weekend was 1180 yuan/ton, 0.42% higher than that at the beginning of the week, and 17.24% higher than that at the beginning of the week.

Products: This week, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid rose slightly. Enterprises reflect that the supply of hydrofluoric acid on the spot is tight. Recently, the situation of goods on the spot has improved. Some enterprises have a low start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plant and a small rise in ex-factory price. Recently, the start-up rate of hydrofluoric acid plant is general, and the supply on the site is tight. At present, the southern region is facing a shortage of hydrofluoric acid plant. The main stream of regional hydrofluoric acid negotiations is 11500-12000 yuan/ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the northern market is 11500-12500 yuan/ton. Recently, the domestic market price of hydrofluoric acid has risen slightly, but in the near future, the downstream refrigerant industry has maintained a low start-up rate, the supply of hydrofluoric acid manufacturers is tight, and the market price has risen slightly. By the end of the weekend, the mainstream of domestic negotiations on hydrofluoric acid in Fujian was about 11500-12000 yuan/ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Shandong was 12000 yuan/ton, that of hydrofluoric acid in Jiangxi was 12000 yuan/ton, that of hydrofluoric acid in Inner Mongolia was 11500-12000 yuan/ton, and that of hydrofluoric acid increased slightly.

Industry chain: This week, the price of fluorite in the upstream of hydrofluoric acid is rising. By the end of the week, the price of fluorite is 3006.25 yuan/ton. This week, the price of fluorite in the upstream of hydrofluoric acid is rising by 0.84%. The recent start-up of fluorite plant has not changed much. Overall, the supply of fluorite is tight, the price of fluorite is rising slightly, and the high price of raw materials in the upstream is To some extent, the market price of hydrofluoric acid rose slightly. Recent downstream refrigerant product installations started at a low level, the upstream fluorite and hydrofluoric acid demand is general, the recent downstream refrigerant trading market is general, the price of hydrofluoric acid products rose slightly. Recent downstream refrigerant market transactions are cool, R22 refrigerant facility starts at 60%, R22 market facility start-up rate is temporarily stable, the main manufacturer of bulk water factory offer price is between 18,000-18,500 yuan/ton, but the manufacturer does not have bulk water spot, mainly a small number of cylinders shipped. In addition, the actual demand side of the market has not changed much, and the shipping market trend is general. Domestic market price trend of R134a shocks, production enterprises equipment start-up rate remains low, refrigerant market demand is general, manufacturers mainly export. However, the on-site transaction price does not change much, and the upstream market demand for hydrofluoric acid does not change much. Aluminum fluoride prices of downstream products have increased slightly recently, with a weekend value of 9333.33 yuan per ton. The price trend has risen slightly. Recently, the market price of hydrofluoric acid has risen slightly.

ammonium persulfate

Industry: This week, the upstream raw material fluorite and hydrofluoric acid market spot supply is tight, coupled with the upstream refrigerant industry trading market has improved, hydrofluoric acid market prices rose slightly.

Recent domestic refrigerant plant start-up rate is normal, for hydrofluoric acid market demand is general, the spot supply of hydrofluoric acid is tight, coupled with the rising trend of raw material market prices, business community hydrofluoric acid analyst Chen Ling believes that the market price of hydrofluoric acid will maintain a small rise next week, hydrofluoric acid price will be around 12,000 yuan/ton.