Poor demand leads to a decline in the market price of ammonium sulfate (7.21-7.25)

1、 Price trend
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the average price of ammonium sulfate in the domestic market on July 25th was 1160 yuan/ton, which is 3.06% lower than the average price of 1196 yuan/ton on July 21st.

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2、 Market analysis
market conditions
As of July 25th, the mainstream ex factory quotation for coking grade ammonium sulfate in Shandong region is around 1080 yuan/ton. Domestic grade ammonium sulfate, the mainstream ex factory quotation in Shandong region is around 1100-1170 yuan/ton.
Supply and demand situation
This week, the domestic ammonium sulfate market prices continued to decline. The operating rate of ammonium sulfate enterprises is relatively stable this week. At present, the supply of ammonium sulfate in the market is stable, but downstream demand is not performing well, and there is resistance to high prices, resulting in weak market transactions. The export market for ammonium sulfate has not shown significant improvement, and the market is mainly adopting a wait-and-see attitude.
3、 Future forecast
An ammonium sulfate analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the market trend of ammonium sulfate has been weak and downward recently. At present, the trading in the ammonium sulfate market is light, with insufficient new orders and weakened downstream demand. There is currently no positive news in the market. It is expected that in the short term, the domestic ammonium sulfate market price will be weak and mainly operated through consolidation.

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MTBE market rebound

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from July 14th to 18th, MTBE prices rose from 4987 yuan/ton to 5100 yuan/ton, with a price increase of 2.26% during the period, a month on month decrease of 1.31%, and a year-on-year decrease of 24.16%. After the domestic MTBE market fell to a certain low, it slightly rose, boosted by the signing of more export orders. Some manufacturers prepared for port consolidation in advance, resulting in a decrease in external sales. The MTBE market was slightly boosted by the phased replenishment of downstream operators, and manufacturers intend to increase prices and volume.
On the cost side, in terms of crude oil: The international oil price has fallen, and the main negative factors are the uncertainty of the US tariff policy and the ongoing OPEC+production increase. The market is concerned about the risk of oversupply and weakened demand. As of July 17th, the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for the September contract was $69.52 per barrel.
On the demand side, in terms of downstream gasoline, international oil prices may fall, and the expectation of a new round of retail price limits for refined oil products will be lowered. However, the gasoline market is expected to remain strong during the summer, and end-users and traders still have enthusiasm for purchasing. The impact of MTBE demand is mixed.
Supply side: Short term domestic MTBE supply side is affected by bearish factors.
As of the close on July 17th, the closing price of the Asian MTBE market has decreased by $1.03/ton compared to the previous trading day, and FOB Singapore closed at $654.51-656.51/ton. The closing price of the European MTBE market increased by $6.25/ton compared to the previous trading day, and FOB ARA closed at $873.49-873.99/ton. The closing price of the MTBE market in the United States increased by $8.46/ton compared to the previous trading day, and the FOB Gulf offshore price closed at $733.96-734.32/ton (207.24-207.34 cents/gallon).
Market forecast: Currently, raw material prices are still relatively high, and manufacturers’ willingness to offer wide discounts is not strong under the support of cost. The MTBE analyst from Shengyi Society believes that the domestic MTBE market may experience narrow fluctuations.

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This week, the market price of isopropanol has decreased (7.14-7.18)

price trend

Melamine

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the market price of isopropanol has decreased this week. At the beginning of the week, the average price of isopropanol in China was 5833.33 yuan/ton, and the average price over the weekend was 5808.33 yuan/ton, with a price reduction of 0.43%.
The market price of isopropanol has decreased this week. The overall market situation of isopropanol is light, with the acetone market in East China first falling and then rising. However, the demand for isopropanol is weak, inventory is increasing, and the mainstream negotiation focus is not fluctuating much. As of now, most of the isopropanol market prices in Shandong are around 5600-5700 yuan/ton; The majority of prices in the isopropanol market in Jiangsu region are around 5800-5850 yuan/ton.
Future forecast
The isopropanol analyst from Business Society Chemical Branch believes that the isopropanol market price continued to decline slightly this week, and overall cost support is average. The overall trading atmosphere in the downstream market is lukewarm, and actual orders are cautious. It is expected that the isopropanol market will remain cautious in the short term, with a focus on stable operation.

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This week, the market price of isopropanol has decreased (7.7-7.11)

price trend

Melamine

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the market price of isopropanol has decreased this week. At the beginning of the week, the average price of isopropanol in China was 5983.33 yuan/ton, and the average price over the weekend was 5916.67 yuan/ton, with a price reduction of 1.11%.
The market price of isopropanol has decreased this week. The overall market situation of isopropanol is light, while the acetone market in East China is fluctuating downwards. In addition, weak downstream demand has led to increased inventory, resulting in a decline in the holding price. As of now, most of the isopropanol market prices in Shandong are around 5700-5800 yuan/ton; The majority of isopropanol market prices in Jiangsu region are around 6000-6200 yuan/ton.
Future forecast
The isopropanol analyst from Business Society Chemical Branch believes that the isopropanol market price has fallen this week. The raw material acetone fluctuated slightly downwards, while the price of propylene decreased. Overall, cost support is not satisfactory. The downstream market is mainly focused on urgent demand for goods, and transactions are cautious. It is expected that the isopropanol market will remain cautious in the short term, with a focus on stable operation.

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The methanol market is experiencing a significant decline

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, from June 30th to July 4th (as of 15:00), the domestic methanol market in East China port quotations fell from 2805 yuan/ton to around 2474 yuan/ton, with a price drop of 11.79% during the cycle, a month on month increase of 7.90%, and a year-on-year decrease of 2.59%. With the weakening of macro impact and the completion of delivery in mainstream port methanol markets, the domestic methanol market has rapidly declined.

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As of the close on July 4th, the closing price of methanol futures on Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange has fallen. The main contract for methanol futures, 2509, opened at 2415 yuan/ton, with a highest price of 2432 yuan/ton and a lowest price of 2396 yuan/ton. It closed at 2399 yuan/ton in the closing session, a decrease of 9% or 0.37% from the previous trading day’s settlement. The trading volume is 704431 lots, the position is 694763, and the daily increase is -12229.
On the cost side, coal prices are fluctuating at a low level, with limited upward demand and weakened cost support. The cost of methanol is influenced by negative factors.
On the demand side, glacial acetic acid: The market price of glacial acetic acid continues to decline in some areas. Formaldehyde: Horizontal consolidation of formaldehyde market. Dimethyl ether: The dimethyl ether market is consolidating horizontally. Most downstream products have little fluctuation in methanol demand, and the impact on methanol demand is mixed.
On the supply side, the overall loss exceeds the recovery, resulting in a decrease in capacity utilization. The supply of methanol is affected by favorable factors.
In terms of external markets, as of the close on July 3rd, the CFR Southeast Asian methanol market closed at $344.50-345.50 per ton, a decrease of $5 per ton. The closing price of the US Gulf methanol market is 86.00-87.00 cents per gallon; The closing price of FOB Rotterdam methanol market is 254.50-255.50 euros/ton, down 4 euros/ton.
Forecast for the future: With multiple sets of equipment undergoing maintenance in China, methanol prices are unlikely to fall. The methanol analyst from Shengyi Society predicts that the domestic methanol spot market will mainly consolidate.

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The price trend of ethyl acetate is relatively weak

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of the 29th, the price of ethyl acetate was 5453.33 yuan/ton, a decrease of 16.67 yuan/ton or 0.30% compared to the price of 5470.00 yuan/ton on June 23rd. The supplier’s inventory level is still acceptable, downstream demand is average, market transactions are weak, and the quotation for ethyl acetate has been adjusted downward.

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The utilization rate of domestic ethyl acetate production capacity has been reduced, and the inventory of enterprises is not under pressure, with strong quotations as the main factor. The enthusiasm of downstream market entry is not high, and the market trading atmosphere is weak. Some enterprises have poor shipments, coupled with the weak operation of acetic acid on the raw material side, the cost support is average, and the shipment of ethyl acetate in the market is hindered, causing the price center of ethyl acetate to shift downward.
Looking at the future, there is a supply-demand game in the ethyl acetate market, and manufacturers have a strong intention to ship. However, downstream purchasing is poor, and the pressure on ethyl ester enterprises to ship still exists. At the same time, the raw material market is bearish, and the cost support is insufficient. It is expected that the price of ethyl acetate will be weak in the later stage, and specific attention will be paid to changes in supplier equipment and downstream follow-up.

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The aggregated MDI market continued to decline in June

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, the domestic aggregated MDI market showed weak performance in June and continued to decline. From June 1st to 30th, the domestic market price of aggregated MDI increased from 16333 yuan/ton to 15500 yuan/ton, with a monthly price drop of 5.1% and a year-on-year price drop of 12.66%.

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In early June, Wanhua began maintenance on June 5th, and the Shanghai BASF and Huntsman units were restarting. The factory has a strong willingness to raise prices, but there is no significant increase in demand. Downstream entry into the market is cautious, and there is a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. The aggregated MDI market has begun to decline.
In mid to late June, the market supply remained stable, downstream demand was off-season, orders were low, and large factories in the north resumed operations, but the support for the market was limited. Without obvious positive guidance, the price of aggregated MDI continued to decline.
On the supply side, Shanghai Huntsman will restart production of 350000 tons in June. BASF’s 250000 ton plant in Shanghai will restart in June. Wanhua Fujian plant started shutdown maintenance on June 5th, with a duration of about 45 days. Large factories in the north will start reducing production in mid June.
On the cost side, the raw material pure benzene: In June, the pure benzene market fluctuated greatly with the trend of crude oil, and the price at the end of the month increased compared to the beginning of the month. On June 13th, tensions escalated in the Middle East, with oil prices reaching a two month high and pure benzene catching up significantly. On that day, the price of pure benzene rose by around 250-350 yuan/ton. On June 23rd, crude oil prices plummeted and pure benzene began to decline. On June 1st, the average price of pure benzene was 5735 yuan/ton, and on June 30th, the average price was 5984 yuan/ton, with a monthly increase of 4.05%.
On the demand side, the downstream is in a low season of demand, and the high price of aggregated MDI is not smooth. Although there is some support from the supply side, it is greatly affected by the constraints of the demand side.
In the future market forecast, the current MDI market supply side has a moderate willingness to raise prices, while the demand side maintains rigid procurement. Under the supply-demand game, it is expected that the short-term aggregated MDI market will operate in a narrow range.

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Activated carbon prices rise in June

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of Shengyi Society, the price of activated carbon at the beginning of the month was 12333 yuan/ton, and at the end of the month it was 12533/ton, with a price increase of 1.62%.

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Domestic activated carbon manufacturers have seen some price increases this month, but most have remained stable. The ex factory price of coconut shell activated carbon for water purification is between 10000-13500 yuan/ton. The demand for coconut shell activated carbon in traditional fields such as water treatment and air purification continues to grow, and the market supply is tight. Industry insiders are mostly optimistic about the future market.
Internationally, 95% of coconut shell carbonization materials rely on imports. Southeast Asia, as the main source of coconut shells worldwide, will encounter multiple natural disasters in 2024: Thailand will experience a reduction in coconut production due to drought and pest infestations, and some production areas in Indonesia will be affected by abnormal rainfall at the end of the rainy season, resulting in a decrease in coconut shell collection efficiency and supporting price increases.
Prediction: The supply of activated carbon in the domestic and international markets is tight, and it is expected that the price of activated carbon will mainly fluctuate with a strong trend in the short term.

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Decreased production, supported by demand, resulting in an increase in phthalic anhydride prices this week

This week, the phthalic anhydride market fluctuated and rose

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According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 20th, the price of phthalic anhydride in neighboring countries was 6933.33 yuan/ton, which fluctuated and increased by 0.24% compared to the price of phthalic anhydride on June 13th, which was 6916.67 yuan/ton. This week, the price of ortho benzene remained stable, while the price of industrial naphthalene fluctuated and rose. The cost support for phthalic anhydride increased, and the operating rate of phthalic anhydride enterprises decreased to 6.50%. The supply of phthalic anhydride decreased, and the downstream plasticizer market rose. The equipment operating load of plasticizer enterprises increased slightly, and the demand support for phthalic anhydride increased. Supply has decreased and demand has rebounded, leading to an increase in phthalic anhydride prices.
Reduced supply of phthalic anhydride cost support
This week, the price of ortho benzene is temporarily stable. Sinopec’s ortho benzene quotation is 6900 yuan/ton, and the price is temporarily stable. The price of industrial naphthalene has fluctuated and risen, while the cost support of phthalic anhydride still exists. This week, the maintenance of phthalic anhydride equipment is still ongoing, and the operating rate of enterprises remains stable at a low level. The operating rate of the domestic phthalic anhydride industry has dropped to about 6.5%, and the supply of phthalic anhydride has decreased. The cost support supply has decreased, and the price increase of phthalic anhydride this week has provided significant support.
Demand side: DOP prices stop rising and fall back
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 20th, the DOP price was 8267.50 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.10% from the high of 8284.17 yuan/ton on June 18th; Compared to June 13th, the DOP price of 8250.83 yuan/ton first rose and then fell, with an increase of 0.20%. This week, DOP prices have fallen from a high level, and the operating load of plasticizer enterprises has increased. The production of plasticizers has also increased, and the demand for phthalic anhydride has grown, which has increased the support for the rise in phthalic anhydride prices.
Future forecast
According to the data analyst of Shengyi Society’s phthalic anhydride products, in terms of demand, plasticizer companies have increased their production, resulting in an increase in plasticizer output and increased support for phthalic anhydride demand; In terms of supply, the production of phthalic anhydride enterprises is stabilizing at a low level, and the expected supply of phthalic anhydride is decreasing. In the future, as supply decreases and demand rebounds, the price of phthalic anhydride fluctuates and rises.

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Boosting demand, n-butanol market in Shandong region welcomes rise

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of June 16, 2025, the reference price of n-butanol in Shandong Province, China is 6366 yuan/ton. Compared with June 12 (reference price of n-butanol is 6233 yuan/ton), the price has increased by 133 yuan/ton, an increase of 2.14%.

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Entering this week, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong has been on the rise, and the focus of market negotiations is moving towards higher levels. Factories and suppliers in Shandong have raised the shipment price of n-butanol by about 100-150 yuan/ton. As of June 16th, the reference price for n-butanol market in Shandong is around 6350-6400 yuan/ton.
Analysis of Market Factors
On the demand side: As we enter this week, downstream demand for n-butanol has improved, and there is a phase of replenishment on the demand side, with increased support from the demand side for n-butanol.
Supply side: Currently, the supply side of n-butanol is gradually stabilizing, with stable support from the supply side and smooth transmission between supply and demand.
Market analysis in the future
At present, the trading atmosphere in the n-butanol market is mild, and the focus of negotiations has been boosted. The n-butanol industry has a good mentality, and the n-butanol data analyst from Shengyi Society predicts that in the short term, the n-butanol market in Shandong will mainly operate in a stable to strong direction, and specific changes in supply and demand information need to be closely monitored.

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